Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Boavista
35.1%
Draw
36.1%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Boavista
vs
0.96
Farense
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.0%
0-1
15.1%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).