Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Osasuna
25.2%
Draw
19.4%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Osasuna
vs
0.88
Leganes
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).