Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Luton
27.5%
Draw
31.2%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Luton
vs
0.95
Bradford
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).