Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Sevilla
26.0%
Draw
23.8%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Sevilla
vs
0.99
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).