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25 Sept 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Tenerife
32.0%
Draw
41.5%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Tenerife

vs
1.04

Espanol

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.2%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).