Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Santander
24.6%
Draw
29.8%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Santander
vs
1.22
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).