Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.6%
Ath Madrid
17.8%
Draw
6.6%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Ath Madrid
vs
0.45
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.3%
1-0
16.6%
3-0
11.9%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).