Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Stoke
32.6%
Draw
32.1%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Stoke
vs
1.00
Brentford
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).