Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Gillingham
25.7%
Draw
27.2%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Gillingham
vs
0.93
Crewe
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).