Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Wolfsburg
26.2%
Draw
41.1%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Wolfsburg
vs
1.55
Mainz
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).