Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.2%
Dortmund
11.7%
Draw
5.1%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Dortmund
vs
0.69
Bochum
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
4-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.0%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).