Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Zenit
21.8%
Draw
10.1%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Zenit
vs
0.66
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).