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25 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Airdrie Utd
33.2%
Draw
39.6%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.22

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.4%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).