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HHT: 11CSV

12 May 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
Ross County
29.4%
Draw
41.8%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Ross County

vs
1.31

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).