Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Hartlepool
24.5%
Draw
28.4%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Hartlepool
vs
1.12
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).