Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Stamford
25.5%
Draw
4.6%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Stamford
vs
0.18
Coventry
Markets
BTTS12.1%
Over 0.579.8%
Over 1.547.1%
Over 2.521.4%
Over 3.57.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
29.0%
2-0
20.4%
0-0
20.2%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
4.9%
0-1
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
5-0
1.0%
4-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).