Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Nantes
23.0%
Draw
26.0%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Nantes
vs
1.18
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).