Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Stevenage
29.2%
Draw
30.2%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Stevenage
vs
0.86
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-1
13.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).