Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Crystal Palace
28.0%
Draw
55.5%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Crystal Palace
vs
1.61
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
11.9%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).