Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.3%
Bologna
18.1%
Draw
10.6%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Bologna
vs
0.68
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.0%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).