Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Middlesbrough
27.9%
Draw
26.2%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Middlesbrough
vs
1.07
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).