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AHT: 04CSV

16 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.2%
Annan Athletic
28.9%
Draw
51.0%
East Fife

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Annan Athletic

vs
1.64

East Fife

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).