Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Cesena
27.4%
Draw
19.6%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Cesena
vs
0.88
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).