Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Lugo
30.4%
Draw
48.3%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Lugo
vs
1.19
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.4%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).