Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Harrogate
28.4%
Draw
33.3%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Harrogate
vs
1.02
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).