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14 Apr 2026 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.4%
Wigan
26.8%
Draw
28.8%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Wigan

vs
0.92

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).