Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.3%
Dover Athletic
12.4%
Draw
82.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Dover Athletic
vs
2.91
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
0-3
11.5%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
5.9%
1-4
5.6%
0-5
4.9%
0-0
3.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).