Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.6%
Needham Market
11.2%
Draw
10.2%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
3.63
Needham Market
vs
1.38
Bury
Markets
BTTS72.9%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.595.9%
Over 2.587.7%
Over 3.573.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.3%
4-1
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
5-1
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
4-2
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
5-0
3.5%
5-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).