Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
Cremonese
31.2%
Draw
48.0%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Cremonese
vs
1.14
Lazio
Markets
BTTS31.8%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.5%
0-0
16.7%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-3
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).