Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Watford
25.1%
Draw
57.9%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Watford
vs
1.88
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
3.1%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).