Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Sp Gijon
20.1%
Draw
10.1%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Sp Gijon
vs
0.56
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).