Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Farense
34.7%
Draw
29.4%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Farense
vs
0.72
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS28.5%
Over 0.579.5%
Over 1.545.5%
Over 2.520.5%
Over 3.57.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.5%
1-0
18.1%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).