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12 Jan 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.0%
Hull
22.4%
Draw
50.5%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Hull

vs
1.80

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).