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22 Nov 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.9%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
32.7%
Draw
41.3%
Crystal Palace

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
1.23

Crystal Palace

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.0%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).