Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Ibiza
26.4%
Draw
40.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ibiza
vs
1.35
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).