Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
La Coruna
28.4%
Draw
38.7%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
La Coruna
vs
1.18
Elche
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).