Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Southampton
22.9%
Draw
16.9%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Southampton
vs
0.97
West Brom
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).