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AHT: 00CSV

13 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.9%
Espanol
26.3%
Draw
28.7%
Valencia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Espanol

vs
1.13

Valencia

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).