Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Bologna
25.8%
Draw
45.3%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Bologna
vs
1.45
Napoli
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).