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21 Sept 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Grimsby
28.2%
Draw
29.2%
Macclesfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Grimsby

vs
0.94

Macclesfield

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).