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DHT: 10CSV

03 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.6%
Frosinone
19.2%
Draw
10.2%
Avellino

Expected Goals (xG)

2.27

Frosinone

vs
0.76

Avellino

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.6%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
0-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).