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AHT: 01CSV

30 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Le Havre
29.0%
Draw
21.8%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Le Havre

vs
0.66

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS32.4%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.527.9%
Over 3.511.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.7%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).