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04 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.2%
Basel
25.7%
Draw
23.1%
Servette

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Basel

vs
1.26

Servette

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).