Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Mainz
24.3%
Draw
23.0%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Mainz
vs
1.14
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).