Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Macclesfield
25.3%
Draw
24.0%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Macclesfield
vs
0.94
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).