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17 Mar 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Malaga
25.3%
Draw
37.4%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Malaga

vs
1.38

Levante

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).