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AHT: 13CSV

11 Apr 2025 · 19:00

Metz

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Martigues
17.6%
Draw
67.1%
Metz

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Martigues

vs
2.21

Metz

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.6%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).