Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Ayr
25.0%
Draw
14.3%
Ross County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Ayr
vs
0.83
Ross County
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).