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AHT: 01CSV

01 Jan 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.7%
Braintree Town
29.7%
Draw
55.6%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Braintree Town

vs
1.38

Southend

Markets

BTTS34.0%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.4%
0-0
15.0%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).