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AHT: 01CSV

14 Nov 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.9%
Airdrie Utd
27.8%
Draw
48.3%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.49

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).